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Has Homelessness Increased Nationwide During the Past Two Years?
Five States will Reveal Half of the Story
A brief prepared by Joe Colletti, PhD
When the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) publishes the results of the 2017 country-wide homeless count, we will find out if homelessness has increased or decreased collectively across the country during the past couple of years, and five states will reveal half of the story. Table 1 below shows that more than half (51%) of the country's homeless population counted in 2015 lived on the streets or in temporary shelter in five states---California, Florida, New York, Texas, and Massachusetts.
NOTE: HUD requires all the Continuums of Care (CoC) within a state to conduct a sheltered and unsheltered homeless count every two years, which falls on odd number years.
The Five States
Table 1. Total Number of Homeless Persons in the United States by State including the District of Columbia in 2015
State
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Total Homeless Persons
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#
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%
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California
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115,738
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20.7
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New York
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88,250
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15.8
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Florida
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35,900
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6.4
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Texas
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23,678
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4.3
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Massachusetts
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21,135
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3.8
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45 states and District of Columbia
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273,917
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49.0
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Total:
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558,618
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100
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Table 1 lists the five states---California, Florida, New York, Texas, and Massachusetts---and the total number of persons for each state in 2015, which totaled 284,701 or 51% of the country's total homeless population for that year.
A comparison of the 2017 point-in-time homeless count data to the 2015 count data may reveal a reversal of fortune when the 2017 homeless count information is released. The reversal may be true if most, or all, of the aforementioned five states reveal increases, even if most, or all, of the other 45 states and the District of Columbia were to reveal decreases.
Five More States
Table 2 lists an additional five states---Washington, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Oregon, and Illinois---and the total number of persons counted for each of these five states in 2015. When their total number of persons is added to the total number of persons counted in the five states previously noted above, the total number of persons counted in the 10 states is 359,734, which represents nearly two-thirds (64.4%) of the total number of persons counted throughout the United States in 2015.
Table 2. Total Number of Homeless Persons in the United States by State including the District of Columbia in 2015
State
|
Total Homeless Persons
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|
#
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%
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California
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115,738
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20.7
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New York
|
88,250
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15.8
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Florida
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35,900
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6.4
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Texas
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23,678
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4.3
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Massachusetts
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21,135
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3.8
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Washington
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19,419
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3.5
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Pennsylvania
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15,421
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2.8
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Georgia
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13,790
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2.5
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Oregon
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13,226
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2.4
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Illinois
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13,177
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2.3
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40 states and District of Columbia
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198,884
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35.6
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Total:
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558,618
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100
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As previously noted, a comparison of the 2017 point-in-time homeless count data to the 2015 count data may reveal a reversal of fortune when this year's homeless count information is released. When looking at the data for the 10 states mentioned above, a reversal may be true if many of the 10 states had increases in the number of homeless persons nationwide in 2017, even if many of the other 40 states and the District of Columbia had decreases.
A 10-Year Comparison
An increase in the total number of persons counted as homeless in the 50 states including the District of Columbia during the last two years, would reveal a reversal of fortune when compared to the 10-year period between 2005 and 2015.
The following table notes the decreases that were reported every two years by the CoCs nationwide between 2005 and 2015.
Table 3. Number of Persons Who Were Homeless in the United States including the District of Columbia: 2005 - 2015
Year
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# of Persons Who Were Homeless in the United States
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Difference (+/-)
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#
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%
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2005
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754,147
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-
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-
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2007
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641,665
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-112,482
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-14.9
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2009
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624,598
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-17,067
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-2.7
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2011
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618,611
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-5,987
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-1.0
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2013
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584,543
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-34,068
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-5.5
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2015
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558,618
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-25,925
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-4.4
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We will know if homelessness has increased nationwide once the 2017 homeless count numbers are released. The public may be informed that the number of homeless persons has increased collectively when all the states are totaled together. However, increases in some, or most, of the five states of California, Florida, New York, Texas, and Massachusetts may be the reason why, which begs the question "why is homelessness increasing in some states like California and not in many other states?"
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